Dispatch Probability Tool

Evaluate bidding strategies using probabilistic MCP forecasts. Calculate dispatch probability and expected revenue for each interval.

Forecast Date
Quick Fill Bids
Flat bid:
Flat qty:
How It Works

1. Select a date and load the MCP forecast
2. Enter your bid prices and quantities
3. Click "Calculate" to see dispatch probabilities
4. Adjust bids to maximize expected revenue

-- Forecast Date
-- Day
-- Expected Revenue (NIS)
-- Avg Dispatch %
Enter Your Bidding Strategy (48 intervals)
Interval Time MCP Forecast Your Bid (NIS) Quantity (MW)
Methodology: Dispatch probability P(dispatch) = P(MCP ≤ Your Bid) computed from 10,000 Monte Carlo price scenarios. Expected revenue = Bid × Quantity × P(dispatch). Prices in NIS/MWh.